NASHVILLE, TN – U.S. agricultural exports have remained surprisingly resilient despite trade disputes, global conflict, higher costs and weaker commodity prices. University of Kentucky Extension Professor Will Snell says export value has stayed near historically strong levels even as producers face a difficult farm economy.
U.S. agricultural exports totaled about $170 billion in four of the past five years, compared with an average of $143 billion from 2016 through 2020. Export volume in 2025 was the third highest on record and only 2.5% below the 2021 peak.
China accounted for more than all of the decline in export value since 2022, while 20 of the top 25 foreign markets increased purchases. Mexico, the European Union, South Korea and several other markets reached records.
Through the first half of 2026, export value increased 7%, and volume rose 10%. China rebounded sharply, while soybeans, ethanol, tree nuts and fresh produce posted gains.
Snell says the pace could push 2026 agricultural exports above $180 billion, potentially the second-highest annual value on record.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong export volumes and broader market growth are helping offset weaker commodity prices and uneven demand from major buyers.