MANHATTAN, KS – Stronger consumer beef demand and decades of value-based cattle marketing are reshaping both cattle prices and USDA’s ability to report negotiated fed cattle trade.
The All-Fresh beef demand index reached a record in 2025. Research cited by Kansas State economists indicates a 1 percent increase in retail beef demand can raise fed cattle prices about 1.5 percent and feeder cattle prices about 2.5 percent.
Industry quality also improved as grid and formula marketing rewarded carcass value. Choice and Prime cattle increased from about 65 percent of fed slaughter in 2010 to 84 percent in 2025, while Prime roughly tripled to 12 percent.
But negotiated cash trade declined as alternative marketing arrangements expanded. USDA has repeatedly withheld some regional reports because limited transactions could violate confidentiality requirements.
USDA is now aggregating negotiated trade from Kansas, Colorado, Texas, Oklahoma and New Mexico into a new regional report, improving reportability while potentially reducing some local market detail.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong beef demand supports cattle values, but shrinking cash trade is changing how producers receive regional price information.