LUBBOCK, TX – Canadian beef and pork markets are moving in different directions heading into 2027, creating separate trade implications for U.S. livestock producers. USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service expects Canadian beef production and exports to grow, while pork exports decline slightly as global demand weakens.
Canadian beef production is forecast to rise about 1% in 2027 as slaughter increases and heavier carcass weights support output. Beef exports are projected to increase 2%, helped by a weaker Canadian dollar, restored access to China and expanding Indo-Pacific demand.
Canada’s swine herd is also expected to grow slightly, with the sow herd forecast up 1%. Pork production is projected to remain relatively steady in 2027, while exports fall about 1% as global demand softens and foreign herds recover.
The United States remains Canada’s dominant market for both beef and pork. Canadian pork exports to the United States increased during 2026, while Ontario producers expanded relationships with U.S. processors following reductions in Canadian slaughter capacity.
Producers should watch Canadian herd expansion, exchange rates, processing capacity and Asian demand through 2027. Those factors will shape cross-border cattle, hog and meat flows across the closely integrated North American market.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Stronger Canadian beef output and steady pork production could increase competition and reshape livestock trade flows with U.S. producers.