NASHVILLE, TN – India could become the world’s second-largest contributor to new urea production capacity through 2030, potentially adding another source of global nitrogen supply for farmers. GlobalData projects India will account for about 13.7% of expected worldwide urea capacity additions during the period.
The research firm says six upcoming Indian projects could add capacity by 2030. Major developments include proposed plants at Jamnagar in Gujarat and Panagarh in West Bengal, both expected to begin operating in 2030. Other projects at Talcher and Namrup are targeted for 2027 and 2029.
India is expanding production as it works to reduce fertilizer import dependence and meet growing agricultural and industrial demand. The country already uses substantial domestic urea production but continues to supplement supplies with imports.
Additional Indian production could eventually increase global nitrogen availability and reduce competition for imported tons. Actual market effects will depend on construction schedules, operating rates, natural gas costs and future fertilizer demand.
GlobalData classifies several of the projects as planned or announced, meaning completion dates remain projections. Producers will need to watch whether those plants advance on schedule as the global nitrogen supply picture develops.
Farm-Level Takeaway: More Indian urea production could eventually add global nitrogen supply, but most of the projected capacity remains several years away.