LUBBOCK, TX – Texas cotton yield estimates fell again in November as USDA reduced the national cotton production forecast and further lowered expectations across the nation’s largest cotton-producing state.
USDA forecasts all U.S. cotton production at 13.175 million bales, down 2 percent from October and 5 percent from last year. The national average yield fell 15 pounds from the previous forecast to 775 pounds per harvested acre.
Texas yield is now forecast at 507 pounds per acre, down from 537 pounds in October and 629 pounds last year.
Texas production is projected at 4.143 million bales, compared with 5.265 million in 2025. Harvested acreage is estimated at 3.925 million acres, slightly below last year’s level.
Other Plains states also remain under pressure. Kansas cotton yield is projected at 499 pounds per acre, while Oklahoma is forecast at just 300 pounds.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Lower Texas and Plains yields continue tightening the U.S. cotton production outlook despite larger harvested acreage nationally.